Graham Harrell is not the best QB in this draft...and it's not even close. Okay, that might be a little far-fetched but it's very possible that West Virginia's Pat White will produce numbers that could exceed the Texas Tech QB. To come to this conclusion, look no further than gradual improvement of Vince Young as a comparison. VY's 2003 and 2004 look very similar to White's 2005 and 2006 production. Both QBs are dynamic runners who run for both yards and touchdowns. Both QBs also appear to be adequate passers, at best. While his rushing numbers were pretty flat from season to season, it was Vince Young's improved passing skills that launched him into dominance. It will take this type of improvement in passing for Pat White to overtake Graham Harrell as the top fantasy QB this season. However, there are clues that White is on the right path, one being the 90% increase in fantasy points from 2005 to 2006 based on passing numbers alone.
Vince Young
| Year | Passing Yards | Passing Touchdowns | INTs | Rushing Yards | Rushing Touchdowns | Total Fantasy Points | % Change |
| 2003 | 1155 | 6 | 7 | 998 | 11 | 223.6 | - |
| 2004 | 1849 | 12 | 11 | 1079 | 14 | 295.4 | + 31.7% |
| 2005 | 3036 | 26 | 10 | 1050 | 12 | 384.8 | + 30.3% |
Pat White
| Year | Passing Yards | Passing Touchdowns | INTs | Rushing Yards | Rushing Touchdowns | Total Fantasy Points | % Change |
| 2005 | 828 | 8 | 5 | 952 | 7 | 190.6 | - |
| 2006 | 1655 | 13 | 7 | 1219 | 18 | 326.7 | + 71.4% |
So what can we expect from Pat White in 2007? For starters, we need to understand that if White's passing numbers increase his running numbers most likely will decrease. While White's rushing yards might be close to 1,200 yards, it will be quite difficult to duplicate 18 rushing touchdowns for a QB. For the sake of this analysis, we are going to assume a decrease in rushing touchdowns from 18 to 13.
How far will Pat White's passing progress in 2007? CFB ran three scenarios using the standard scoring system to gauge what type of output to expect from White. Under our Conservative scenario, White could marginally improve his passing and his rushing touchdowns could go down. While this would be a decrease in fantasy numbers from last year, it still puts White as the #2 QB in your draft.
Under the Moderate scenario, we have White pushing his passing numbers from 1,655 yards with 13 touchdowns to 2,400 yards and 20 touchdowns. This would be significant progress in Pat White's maturation as a true QB and would put his numbers essentially neck-in-neck with Graham Harrell.
What about a Vince Young ascension? Under the Vince Young scenario, White throws for 2,900 yards with 23 passing touchdowns. These types of numbers would make Pat White a no-brainer as the #1 pick. Is this possible? White plays in the Big East with a non-conference schedule tickled with the likes of Western Michigan, Marshall and East Carolina. It is very possible. Now all you have to do is pull the trigger with the 1st pick and take Pat White of West Virginia.
Projected 2007
| Player | Passing Yards | Passing Touchdowns | INTs | Rushing Yards | Rushing Touchdowns | Total Fantasy Points |
| Graham Harrell | 4876 | 43 | 16 | - | 1 | 361.8 |
| Pat White (conservative) | 1850 | 16 | 8 | 1200 | 13 | 317.5 |
| Pat White (moderate) | 2400 | 20 | 9 | 1200 | 13 | 356.0 |
| Pat White (Vince Young) | 2900 | 23 | 11 | 1200 | 13 | 388.0 |
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